Department of Strategic Foresight & Scenario Planning
“In a world defined by uncertainty, strategic foresight is the ultimate shield.”
Introduction
Whether it’s a sudden border flare-up, a cyber blackout, or a global pandemic, the element of surprise can devastate national readiness. Traditional intelligence often tells us what is—foresight tells us what could be.
India must pre-empt—not just react. This department was created to equip national security thinkers with the ability to game out future scenarios and visualise opportunities and risks across all domains.
Strategic Importance
- Anticipating the next war, not the last
Scenario thinking breaks the trap of historical assumptions.
- Avoiding strategic surprise
Red-teaming and wild card analysis can highlight blind spots before adversaries exploit them.
- Planning across time horizons
From near-term readiness to long-term existential shifts (AI dominance, water wars).
Foresight Scenarios
Testing assumptions and red-teaming the future of national security.